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When the new Congress convenes in January, Democrats will firmly control the House of Representatives with about a 75-seat majority. In the Senate, Democrats will hold 57 of the 100 seats.
Despite the strong majorities, there is a hitch — a big one for congressional Democrats.
Under Senate rules, Democrats need 60 votes to pass major legislation and cut off filibuster debate that can effectively stop a floor vote.
As of today, the Democrats don’t have the magic 60 Senate votes, but they have expressed confidence that they can persuade “two or three” liberal Republicans like Arlen Specter, Susan Collins or Olympia Snowe to cross the aisle and vote with them on key legislation.
If the Democrats succeed and take out Chambliss in the special election, replacing him with Democrat Martin, they will have 58 Senate votes, greatly increasing their chances of getting the magic 60 votes.
The bottom line: As long as Senate Republicans can muster the 41 votes required to avoid cloture (which ends a filibuster debate), they can continue to filibuster, forcing the Democrats to either amend their legislation at the bargaining table or kill their legislation altogether.